1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – February 8th

Posted: February 8, 2016 by JLCook33 in College Basketball
Tags: , , , , , , ,
THE BRACKET
Bracket 020816
PROJECTED SEEDING

The 1 Seeds

Villanova, Oklahoma, Xavier, Kansas

The 2 Seeds

Iowa, North Carolina, Oregon, Virginia

The 3 Seeds

Maryland, Michigan State, West Virginia, Miami (FL)

The 4 Seeds

Dayton, Iowa State, Texas A&M, Purdue

The 5 Seeds

USC, Arizona, Kentucky, Baylor

The 6 Seeds

Texas, Providence, Pittsburgh, Duke

The 7 Seeds

Indiana, Utah, Notre Dame, South Carolina

The 8 Seeds

Florida, Wichita State, Colorado, St. Mary’s (CA)

The 9 Seeds

VCU, Syracuse, California, Connecticut

The 10 Seeds

St. Joseph’s, Seton Hall, Florida State, Michigan

The 11 Seeds

George Washington, Gonzaga, Valparaiso, Monmouth

The 12 Seeds

Butler, Cincinnati, Washington, Oregon State, San Diego State, Chattanooga

The 13 Seeds

Arkansas-Little Rock, South Dakota State, Akron, Stony Brook

The 14 Seeds

UC Irvine, Yale, NC-Wilmington, UAB

The 15 Seeds

Belmont, Stephen F. Austin, New Mexico State, North Florida

The 16 Seeds

NC-Asheville, Montana, Bucknell, Hampton, Wagner, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Butler, Cincinnati, Washington, Oregon State

First Four Out

Wisconsin, Clemson, LSU, Vanderbilt

Next Four Out

Texas Tech, St. Bonaventure, Georgia, Kansas State

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

ACC (8), Pac-12 (8), Big 12 (6), Big Ten (6), Big East (5), SEC (4), Atlantic 10 (4), American (2), West Coast (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Virginia, Miami (FL), Pittsburgh, Duke, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Florida State

America East – Stony Brook

American – Connecticut, Cincinnati

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, VCU, St. Joseph’s, George Washington

Atlantic Sun – North Florida

Big 12 – Oklahoma, Kansas, West Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor, Texas

Big East – Villanova, Xavier, Providence, Seton Hall, Butler

Big Sky – Montana

Big South – NC-Asheville

Big Ten – Iowa, Maryland, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – NC-Wilmington

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Valparaiso

Ivy – Yale

MAAC – Monmouth

MAC – Akron

MEAC – Hampton

Missouri Valley – Wichita State

Mountain West – San Diego State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Oregon, USC, Arizona, Utah, Colorado, California, Washington, Oregon State

Patriot – Bucknell

SEC – Texas A&M, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Stephen F. Austin

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Arkansas-Little Rock

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

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Comments
  1. Maryland as a 3 makes no sense. For starters, Oregon has a few sub 100 losses that should immediately set them below Maryland given the rest of their resumes.

  2. JLCook33 says:

    I’m interested to see what you deemed as “a few sub 100 losses” in your above comment. Oregon has one sub-100 loss based on RPI, at the hands of UNLV at the beginning of December. The Ducks have the #1 overall Strength of Schedule, and are ahead of Maryland in RPI. They’re 8-2 record against RPI top-50 also stands out on their resume.

    All of this being said, I do think Maryland is the better team. However, my goal with my Bracketology is not to set the field based on my own personal judgment of a team’s merit. Rather, it is to project what the tournament committee will do on Selection Sunday. I think that if Selection Sunday were today, Oregon would get the nod over Maryland for the reasons stated above, among others.

  3. twoticketstoparadise20 says:

    I was looking at Kenpom, which had UNLV and Boise State as sub 100 losses yesterday (although now UNLV is 99). Still, both losses are significantly worse than any of Maryland’s. If the RPI itself is your metric of choice though, Maryland checking in at #4 seems to argue for more than a 3 seed.

  4. JLCook33 says:

    Alas, Ken Pom is definitely a reasonable source for information, and I personally agree that Maryland deserves more than a three seed. However, the committee’s reliance on RPI (outmoded as it is in determining a team’s quality), strength of schedule, and top-50 wins in recent years leads me to believe they’d currently seed them on the 3 line, if only barely. Their lack of games against RPI top-50 (3-2 record) does not bode well.

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