High Leverage Futures Bets (2024 Edition)

I took the baseline model I developed for my “How to Win Your Bracket Pool” article and created a “high-volatility” version to produce bracket simulations so I could look for teams that are uniquely capable of making unexpected runs in this year’s tournament. I compared the results of these simulations to currently available Vegas futures on the two primary sports betting websites (DraftKings & FanDuel) to look for high leverage opportunities in the high risk/high reward space.

I identified five such opportunities (in alphabetical order):

  • Colorado advancing to the Sweet 16 (+330 on FanDuel)
  • Creighton advancing to the Elite 8 (+205 on both sites)
  • Duke advancing to the Elite 8 (+400 on DraftKings)
  • Illinois advancing to the Elite 8 (+270 on DraftKings)
  • Washington State advancing to the Sweet 16 (+550 on DraftKings)

How to Win Your Bracket Pool (2024 Edition)

Before you begin reading this article, I want to make one thing abundantly clear: I’m not telling you how to fill out the perfect bracket; that’s impossible (insert cliché about the astronomically small odds of this ever happening). Rather, I’m giving you statistically sound, pragmatic advice on how to win your bracket pool between you and your friends (and the spoils that come along with it). If you follow these foolproof steps, you should finish at (or at the very least near) the top:

Step 1: Advance all 1 and 2 seeds to the Sweet 16.

Okay, I know, this is super chalky and people may rag on you for making this move. Furthermore, the odds are heavily against all eight 1 and 2 seeds advancing to the Sweet 16. However, picking which 1 or 2 seed is going to get upset is a fool’s gambit. You put yourself at risk of losing easy points that your opponents will gain. You’re better off taking a couple small gambles in other early round games, and just playing it safe here.

To further drive home my point, consider this – in the last five tournaments, 27 of the 40 teams (68%) on the 1 and 2 seed line advanced to the Sweet 16. If you can essentially lock in 5 or 6 correct teams in your predicted Sweet 16, you should do it.

Step 2: Advance all 3 seeds to the second round.

The same chalkiness mentioned in step 1 definitely applies here as well, but the same logic applies as well. The difference here is that a lower seed upset over a 3 in the second round is much more likely in comparison to a similar 1 or 2 upset. Thus, auto-advancing the 3 seeds should only apply to the first round. It’s fun bragging about being the one person who accurately picked the crazy 14 over 3 upset, but you know what’s more fun? Bragging about winning your bracket pool.

In a similar fashion to step 1, I really want to drive home this point as well. Since 2017, only one 14 over 3 upset has occurred, and it was a 1-point victory by Abilene Christian over Texas in 2021.

Step 3: Use the following statistical data to fill out the rest of your bracket.
(*Note*: The 0% values listed do not imply that the result cannot happen. Rather, the result is extremely unlikely [less than 0.1% likelihood])

In years past, I had developed a predictive model to attempt to project who has the best chance of advancing far into the tournament. I refined the model to further optimize the predictive results, then normalized the projections for each region to create a probability of advancing in any given round for every team in the tournament. I used historic tournament results from games that took place between 2010 to 2017.

As part of an update from 2019, I moved to a model that predicts the exact score of each game. After the projected score is developed, the model turns that into a projected probability of victory, then uses rules of conditional probability to project teams advancing in the tournament. I also updated the training data for the model to include tournament results from games that took place between 2014 and 2023.

East Region

East Region 2024

South Region

South Region 2024

Midwest Region

Midwest Region 2024

West Region

West Region 2024

Bonus TL;DR version: Synthesizing the above charts for people who don’t like numbers.

Most Likely First Round Upsets

Going crazy picking a ton of upsets doesn’t do you any good. Instead, I would pick one (or two tops if you’re feeling real wild) from the following options:

Most Likely 13/4 Upsets

  • (13) Samford over (4) Kansas – 24.8%
  • (13) Charleston over (4) Alabama – 19.3%

Most Likely 12/5 Upsets

  • (12) Grand Canyon over (5) Saint Mary’s – 31.2%
  • (12) James Madison over (5) Wisconsin – 31.0%

Most Likely 11/6 Upsets

  • (11) New Mexico over (6) Clemson – 50.4%
  • (11) Oregon over (6) South Carolina – 44.3%

Toss-Up Games

These are the 7/10 and 8/9 games that could get either way. The goal here is to get 5+ out of 8 correct. I recommend the following strategy:

  • (8) Florida Atlantic vs. (9) Northwestern – Take Florida Atlantic.
  • (7) Washington State vs. (10) Drake – Flip a coin.
  • (8) Nebraska vs. (9) Texas A&M – Flip a coin.
  • (7) Florida vs. (10) Boise St./Colorado – Flip a coin.
  • (8) TCU vs. (9) Utah State – Take TCU.
  • (7) Texas vs. (10) Colorado State – Take Texas.
  • (8) Mississippi State vs. (9) Michigan State – Take Michigan State.
  • (7) Dayton vs. (10) Nevada – Flip a coin.

Best Final Four Picks by Region

EAST

Chalk – (1) Connecticut

Value Picks – (4) Auburn, (3) Illinois

Dark Horse – (7) Washington State


SOUTH

Chalk – (1) Houston

Value Picks – (3) Kentucky, (4) Duke

Dark Horse – (6) Texas Tech


MIDWEST

Chalk – (1) Purdue

Value Pick – (3) Creighton

Dark Horse – (5) Gonzaga


WEST

Chalk – (2) Arizona

Value Pick – (3) Baylor, (4) Alabama

Dark Horse – (7) Dayton


Most Likely Champions

  • (1) Connecticut (26.3%)
  • (1) Purdue (14.2%)
  • (1) Houston (11.5%)
  • (2) Arizona (6.1%)
  • (3) Creighton (6.0%)

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 17th (Final)

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031724 (Final)

The 1 Seeds

Connecticut, Purdue, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Iowa State, Arizona, Marquette

The 3 Seeds 

Baylor, Creighton, Illinois, Duke

The 4 Seeds

Auburn, Kentucky, Kansas, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

BYU, Wisconsin, San Diego State, South Carolina

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Florida, St. Mary’s (CA), Utah State

The 7 Seeds

Clemson, Nevada, Gonzaga, Washington State

The 8 Seeds

Dayton, Boise State, Texas, Nebraska

The 9 Seeds

Colorado State, Northwestern, Mississippi State, TCU

The 10 Seeds

Florida Atlantic, New Mexico, Colorado, Michigan State, Texas A&M, Oklahoma

The 11 Seeds

Drake, Oregon, NC State, James Madison

The 12 Seeds

Grand Canyon, McNeese State, Duquesne, Samford 

The 13 Seeds

UAB, Yale, Vermont, College of Charleston

The 14 Seeds

Akron, Oakland, Morehead State, Colgate

The 15 Seeds

Western Kentucky, South Dakota State, Long Beach State, Longwood

The 16 Seeds

St. Peter’s, Stetson, Montana State, Howard, Grambling, Wagner

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Colorado, Michigan State, Texas A&M, Oklahoma

First Four Out

St. John’s, Indiana State, Virginia, Seton Hall

Next Four Out

Pittsburgh, Providence, Ohio State, Kansas State

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (8), Big Ten (6), Mountain West (6), ACC (4), Pac-12 (4), Big East (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, NC State

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, UAB

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, Duquesne

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas, BYU, Texas Tech, Texas, TCU, Oklahoma

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton

Big Sky – Montana State

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Northwestern, Michigan State

Big West – Long Beach State

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Western Kentucky

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Yale

MAAC – St. Peter’s

MAC – Akron

MEAC – Howard

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State, New Mexico

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado, Oregon

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Kentucky, Auburn, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas A&M

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 17th (Prelim AM)

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031724 (AM)

The 1 Seeds

Connecticut, Purdue, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa State, Marquette

The 3 Seeds

Baylor, Creighton, Duke, Illinois

The 4 Seeds

Kentucky, Auburn, Kansas, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

BYU, San Diego State, South Carolina, Wisconsin

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Utah State, St. Mary’s (CA), Clemson

The 7 Seeds

Florida, Nevada, Washington State, Gonzaga

The 8 Seeds

Dayton, Boise State, Texas, Nebraska

The 9 Seeds

Colorado State, Mississippi State, Northwestern, New Mexico

The 10 Seeds

Florida Atlantic, TCU, Colorado, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Texas A&M

The 11 Seeds

Oregon, NC State, Drake, James Madison

The 12 Seeds

Grand Canyon, McNeese State, VCU, Samford

The 13 Seeds

UAB, Yale, Vermont, College of Charleston

The 14 Seeds

Akron, Oakland, Morehead State, Colgate

The 15 Seeds

South Dakota State, Western Kentucky, Long Beach State, Longwood

The 16 Seeds

St. Peter’s, Stetson, Grambling, Montana State, Howard, Wagner

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Colorado, Oklahoma, Michigan State, Texas A&M 

First Four Out

St. John’s, Virginia, Seton Hall, Indiana State

Next Four Out

Pittsburgh, Providence, Ohio State, Kansas State

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (8), Big Ten (6), Mountain West (6), ACC (4), Pac-12 (4), Big East (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, NC State

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, UAB

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, VCU

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas, BYU, Texas Tech, Texas, TCU, Oklahoma

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton

Big Sky – Montana State

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Northwestern, Michigan State

Big West – Long Beach State

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Western Kentucky

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Yale

MAAC – St. Peter’s

MAC – Akron

MEAC – Howard

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State, New Mexico

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado, Oregon

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Kentucky, Auburn, Alabama, South Carolina, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas A&M

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 16th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031624

The 1 Seeds

Connecticut, Purdue, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa State, Marquette

The 3 Seeds

Baylor, Creighton, Duke, Kentucky

The 4 Seeds

Illinois, Auburn, Kansas, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

BYU, San Diego State, South Carolina, Wisconsin

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Utah State, St. Mary’s (CA), Clemson

The 7 Seeds

Florida, Nevada, Washington State, Gonzaga

The 8 Seeds

Dayton, Boise State, Texas, Nebraska

The 9 Seeds

Colorado State, Mississippi State, Northwestern, New Mexico

The 10 Seeds

Florida Atlantic, TCU, Colorado, Oklahoma

The 11 Seeds

Michigan State, St. John’s, Texas A&M, Virginia, Drake, James Madison

The 12 Seeds

Grand Canyon, McNeese State, VCU, Samford

The 13 Seeds

Yale, UAB, Vermont, College of Charleston

The 14 Seeds

Akron, Oakland, Morehead State, Colgate

The 15 Seeds

South Dakota State, Western Kentucky, UC Davis, Longwood

The 16 Seeds

St. Peter’s, Stetson, Grambling, Montana State, Howard, Wagner

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Michigan State, St. John’s, Texas A&M, Virginia

First Four Out

Seton Hall, Indiana State, Pittsburgh, Providence

Next Four Out

Ohio State, Kansas State, Cincinnati, Villanova

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (8), Big Ten (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (6), ACC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Virginia

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, UAB

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, VCU

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, BYU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Texas

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton, St. John’s

Big Sky – Montana State

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Nebraska, Michigan State

Big West – UC Davis

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Western Kentucky

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Yale

MAAC – St. Peter’s

MAC – Akron

MEAC – Howard

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State, New Mexico

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas A&M

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 15th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031524

The 1 Seeds

Purdue, Connecticut, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Marquette, Iowa State

The 3 Seeds

Baylor, Creighton, Duke, Kentucky

The 4 Seeds

Kansas, Alabama, Illinois, Auburn

The 5 Seeds

South Carolina, San Diego State, BYU, Utah State

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Clemson, Washington State

The 7 Seeds

Dayton, Nevada, St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga 

The 8 Seeds

Florida, Colorado State, Boise State, Northwestern

The 9 Seeds

Texas, TCU, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska

The 10 Seeds

Michigan State, Oklahoma, Mississippi State, St. John’s

The 11 Seeds

Colorado, Seton Hall, Drake, New Mexico, Virginia, James Madison

The 12 Seeds

Princeton, Grand Canyon, South Florida, McNeese State

The 13 Seeds

VCU, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont

The 14 Seeds

College of Charleston, Akron, Oakland, Morehead State

The 15 Seeds

Colgate, Sam Houston State, South Dakota State, Quinnipiac

The 16 Seeds

Longwood, Norfolk State, Stetson, Grambling, Montana State, Wagner

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Colorado, Seton Hall, New Mexico, Virginia

First Four Out

Pittsburgh, Texas A&M, Providence, Indiana State

Next Four Out

Ohio State, Villanova, Kansas State, Cincinnati

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (7), Big Ten (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (6), ACC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Virginia

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, South Florida

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, VCU

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, BYU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Texas

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Villanova

Big Sky – Montana State

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Northwestern, Nebraska

Big West – UC Irvine

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Sam Houston State

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Quinnipiac

MAC – Akron

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State, New Mexico

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Florida

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 14th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031424

The 1 Seeds

Purdue, Connecticut, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Marquette, Iowa State

The 3 Seeds

Baylor, Creighton, Duke, Kentucky

The 4 Seeds

Kansas, Alabama, Illinois, Auburn

The 5 Seeds

BYU, South Carolina, San Diego State, Utah State

The 6 Seeds

Clemson, Wisconsin, Washington State, Dayton

The 7 Seeds

Nevada, Texas Tech, St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga 

The 8 Seeds

Florida, Boise State, Northwestern, Colorado State

The 9 Seeds

Texas, TCU, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska

The 10 Seeds

Oklahoma, Seton Hall, Michigan State, Mississippi State

The 11 Seeds

Drake, Colorado, Virginia, St. John’s, Indiana State, Richmond

The 12 Seeds

James Madison, Princeton, Grand Canyon, South Florida

The 13 Seeds

McNeese State, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont

The 14 Seeds

College of Charleston, Akron, Oakland, Morehead State

The 15 Seeds

Colgate, Sam Houston State, South Dakota State, Quinnipiac

The 16 Seeds

Longwood, Norfolk State, Stetson, Grambling, Montana State, Wagner

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Colorado, Virginia, St. John’s, Indiana State

First Four Out

New Mexico, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Iowa

Next Four Out

Texas A&M, Providence, Wake Forest, Kansas State

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—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (7), Big Ten (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (5), ACC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Virginia

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, South Florida

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, Richmond

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, BYU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Texas

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Villanova

Big Sky – Montana State

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Northwestern, Nebraska

Big West – UC Irvine

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Sam Houston State

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Quinnipiac

MAC – Akron

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Florida

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 13th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031324

The 1 Seeds

Purdue, Connecticut, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa State, Marquette

The 3 Seeds

Creighton, Baylor, Duke, Kansas

The 4 Seeds

Alabama, Kentucky, Illinois, Auburn

The 5 Seeds

BYU, South Carolina, San Diego State, Clemson

The 6 Seeds

Utah State, Wisconsin, Dayton, Washington State

The 7 Seeds

Nevada, Texas Tech, St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga 

The 8 Seeds

Florida, Boise State, Texas, Colorado State

The 9 Seeds

Northwestern, Oklahoma, Nebraska, TCU

The 10 Seeds

Florida Atlantic, Seton Hall, Michigan State, Mississippi State

The 11 Seeds

Virginia, St. John’s, Drake, Indiana State, Colorado, Richmond

The 12 Seeds

James Madison, Princeton, Grand Canyon, South Florida

The 13 Seeds

McNeese State, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont

The 14 Seeds

Louisiana Tech, College of Charleston, Toledo, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Morehead State, Colgate, South Dakota State, Montana

The 16 Seeds

Quinnipiac, Longwood, Norfolk State, Stetson, Grambling, Wagner

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Virginia, St. John’s, Indiana State, Colorado

First Four Out

New Mexico, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Iowa

Next Four Out

Texas A&M, Providence, Wake Forest, Ohio State

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (7), Big Ten (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (5), ACC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Virginia

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, South Florida

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, Richmond

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, BYU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Texas

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Villanova

Big Sky – Montana

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Northwestern, Nebraska

Big West – UC Irvine

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Louisiana Tech

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Quinnipiac

MAC – Toledo

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Florida

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 12th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031224

The 1 Seeds

Purdue, Connecticut, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa State, Marquette

The 3 Seeds

Creighton, Baylor, Duke, Kansas

The 4 Seeds

Alabama, Kentucky, Illinois, Auburn

The 5 Seeds

BYU, South Carolina, San Diego State, Clemson

The 6 Seeds

Washington State, Utah State, Dayton, Wisconsin

The 7 Seeds

Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Nevada, Florida

The 8 Seeds

St. Mary’s (CA), Boise State, Texas, Colorado State

The 9 Seeds

Northwestern, Oklahoma, Nebraska, TCU

The 10 Seeds

Seton Hall, Florida Atlantic, Michigan State, Mississippi State

The 11 Seeds

Virginia, St. John’s, Drake, Indiana State, Colorado, Richmond

The 12 Seeds

James Madison, Grand Canyon, Princeton, South Florida

The 13 Seeds

McNeese State, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont

The 14 Seeds

Louisiana Tech, College of Charleston, Toledo, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Morehead State, Colgate, South Dakota State, Quinnipiac

The 16 Seeds

Montana, Longwood, Norfolk State, Merrimack, Stetson, Grambling

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Virginia, St. John’s, Indiana State, Colorado

First Four Out

New Mexico, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Iowa

Next Four Out

Texas A&M, Providence, Wake Forest, Ohio State

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (7), Big Ten (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (5), ACC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Virginia

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, South Florida

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, Richmond

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, BYU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Texas

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Villanova

Big Sky – Montana

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Northwestern, Nebraska

Big West – UC Irvine

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Louisiana Tech

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Quinnipiac

MAC – Toledo

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State

Northeast – Merrimack

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Florida

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 11th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031124

The 1 Seeds

Purdue, Connecticut, Houston, North Carolina

The 2 Seeds

Tennessee, Arizona, Iowa State, Marquette

The 3 Seeds

Creighton, Baylor, Duke, Kansas

The 4 Seeds

Alabama, Kentucky, Illinois, Auburn

The 5 Seeds

BYU, South Carolina, San Diego State, Clemson

The 6 Seeds

Washington State, Dayton, Utah State, Wisconsin

The 7 Seeds

Florida, Texas Tech, Gonzaga, Nevada

The 8 Seeds

St. Mary’s (CA), Boise State, Texas, Colorado State

The 9 Seeds

Northwestern, Oklahoma, Nebraska, TCU

The 10 Seeds

Seton Hall, Florida Atlantic, Michigan State, Mississippi State

The 11 Seeds

Virginia, St. John’s, Drake, Indiana State, Colorado, Richmond

The 12 Seeds

James Madison, Grand Canyon, Princeton, South Florida

The 13 Seeds

McNeese State, Samford, UC Irvine, Vermont

The 14 Seeds

Louisiana Tech, College of Charleston, Toledo, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Morehead State, Colgate, South Dakota State, Quinnipiac

The 16 Seeds

Montana, Longwood, Norfolk State, Merrimack, Stetson, Grambling

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BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Virginia, St. John’s, Indiana State, Colorado

First Four Out

New Mexico, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Iowa

Next Four Out

Texas A&M, Providence, Wake Forest, Ohio State

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CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big 12 (9), SEC (7), Big Ten (6), Big East (6), Mountain West (5), ACC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), WCC (2)

ACC – North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Virginia

America East – Vermont

American – Florida Atlantic, South Florida

Atlantic 10 – Dayton, Richmond

Atlantic Sun – Stetson

Big 12 – Houston, Kansas, Iowa State, Baylor, BYU, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, TCU, Texas

Big East – Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Villanova

Big Sky – Montana

Big South – Longwood

Big Ten – Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Northwestern, Nebraska

Big West – UC Irvine

Coastal – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Louisiana Tech

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Quinnipiac

MAC – Toledo

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Nevada, Colorado State, Boise State

Northeast – Merrimack

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – Arizona, Washington State, Colorado

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Tennessee, Alabama, Auburn, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Florida

Southern – Samford

Southland – McNeese State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – James Madison

SWAC – Grambling

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – St. Mary’s (CA), Gonzaga