1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – February 15th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to feedback and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team blogs are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Finally, operation and maintenance of this site takes time and money. So, if you are willing, please make a small donation towards keeping the site up and running by clicking on the donation button on the sidebar. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET
Bracket 021518
PROJECTED SEEDING

The 1 Seeds

Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Purdue

The 2 Seeds

Auburn, Kansas, Duke, Cincinnati

The 3 Seeds

Texas Tech, Michigan State, North Carolina, Clemson

The 4 Seeds

Tennessee, Ohio State, Arizona, West Virginia

The 5 Seeds

Gonzaga, Rhode Island, Oklahoma, Texas A&M

The 6 Seeds

Wichita State, St. Mary’s (CA), Arizona State, Miami (FL)

The 7 Seeds

Florida State, Florida, Creighton, Seton Hall

The 8 Seeds

Nevada, Kentucky, Missouri, Alabama

The 9 Seeds

Michigan, TCU, Butler, Providence

The 10 Seeds

Arkansas, Virginia Tech, Washington, Louisville

The 11 Seeds

Houston, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, UCLA

The 12 Seeds

Kansas State, NC State, Texas, USC, Loyola-Chicago, Buffalo

The 13 Seeds

South Dakota State, Louisiana-Lafayette, Vermont, East Tennessee State

The 14 Seeds 

Belmont, College of Charleston, Rider, UC Santa Barbara

The 15 Seeds

MontanaNorthern Kentucky, Bucknell, Florida Gulf Coast

The 16 Seeds

Wagner, NC-Asheville, Nicholls State, Harvard, Savannah State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff

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BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Kansas State, NC State, Texas, USC

First Four Out

St. Bonaventure, Temple, Syracuse, Baylor

Next Four Out

Western Kentucky, Nebraska, Boise State, Mississippi State

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—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

ACC (9), SEC (8), Big 12 (7), Big East (6), Pac-12 (5), Big Ten (4), American (3), West Coast (2)

ACC – Virginia, Clemson, Duke, North Carolina, Miami (FL), Florida State, Louisville, Virginia Tech, NC State

America East – Vermont

American – Cincinnati, Wichita State, Houston

Atlantic 10 – Rhode Island

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Texas Tech, Kansas, West Virginia, Oklahoma, TCU, Kansas State, Texas

Big East – Villanova, Xavier, Seton Hall, Creighton, Butler, Providence

Big Sky – Montana

Big South – NC-Asheville

Big Ten – Purdue, Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan

Big West – UC Santa Barbara

Colonial – College of Charleston

Conference USA – Middle Tennessee

Horizon – Northern Kentucky

Ivy – Harvard

MAAC – Rider

MAC – Buffalo

MEAC – Savannah State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Nevada

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, Arizona State, Washington, USC, UCLA

Patriot – Bucknell

SEC – Auburn, Tennessee, Texas A&M, Florida, Kentucky, Missouri, Alabama, Arkansas

Southern – East Tennessee State

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Louisiana-Lafayette

SWAC – Arkansas-Pine Bluff

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, St. Mary’s (CA)

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5 comments

  1. Chris Michener · February 16, 2018

    Can you explain how you have Western Kentucky ahead of Nebraska? On the team sheet, WKU’s six metrics average #67. And four losses to tier 3 teams: Belmont, Missouri State, UTSA, Ohio. Nebraska is better in every single measure other than having one less tier 1 win.

    • JLCook33 · February 16, 2018

      I want to be clear – I believe Nebraska is a better basketball team than Western Kentucky. However, I believe the committee would currently have Western Kentucky ahead of Nebraska. The reason is threefold:

      1. Non-Conference SOS
      – Nebraska: 264th
      – WKU: 37th

      2. Tier 1 + Tier 2 Record
      – Nebraska: 3-8
      – WKU: 3-3

      3. Two Best Wins:
      – Nebraska: Michigan (Home) and Maryland (Home)
      – WKU: Purdue (Neutral) and SMU (Neutral)

      The committee has a pattern of rewarding teams for scheduling tough OOC and overlooking bad losses in the face of quality wins.

      • Chris Michener · February 16, 2018

        Thanks for the response – appreciate it.

      • Chris Michener · February 16, 2018

        Coincidentally, I think you might be interested in this article from the Omaha World-Herald today with quotes straight from committee chair Bruce Rasmussen. One excerpt related to this discussion is the below, but there’s a whole lot more at the link:
        http://www.omaha.com/sports/blogs/mad-chatter-bruce-rasmussen-has-a-thoughtful-message-for-husker/article_e36edfda-1332-11e8-89e6-c341d32c13f9.html

        “Where Dirk’s column is misleading and doesn’t give you the entire story is this: Dirk says that the non-conference SOS is a “prominent tool” in tournament selection. This is ABSOLUTELY incorrect. Non-conference SOS is not a predominant tool in selections.” [Bruce’s words]

  2. JLCook33 · February 16, 2018

    Thank you for providing this link! It was a very worthwhile read, as insight from the committee selection chair is always valuable.

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