1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – December 28th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Coming in mid-January

The 1 Seeds

Baylor, Purdue, Gonzaga, Duke

The 2 Seeds

Arizona, Kansas, UCLA, Iowa State

The 3 Seeds

Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan State, LSU

The 4 Seeds

Seton Hall, Houston, USC, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

Texas, Tennessee, Xavier, Wisconsin

The 6 Seeds

Connecticut, Kentucky, Villanova, Illinois

The 7 Seeds

Providence, Texas Tech, Colorado State, West Virginia

The 8 Seeds

North Carolina, Iowa, Oklahoma, Virginia Tech

The 9 Seeds

BYU, Loyola-Chicago, Florida, Michigan

The 10 Seeds

Memphis, Minnesota, Saint Mary’s (CA), Arkansas

The 11 Seeds

Creighton, Wake Forest, San Francisco, Indiana, San Diego State, Louisville

The 12 Seeds

St. Bonaventure, Belmont, Chattanooga, Iona

The 13 Seeds

Ohio, UAB, Hofstra, UC Irvine

The 14 Seeds

South Dakota State, New Mexico State, Vermont, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Wagner, Navy, Weber State, Texas State

The 16 Seeds

Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Campbell, Nicholls State, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

San Francisco, Indiana, San Diego State, Louisville

First Four Out

Mississippi State, Northwestern, Florida State, Utah State

Next Four Out

Cincinnati, Marquette, Clemson, UCF

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), Big East (6), ACC (5), WCC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Mountain West (2)

ACC – Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville

America East – Vermont

American – Houston, Memphis

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma

Big East – Seton Hall, Xavier, Connecticut, Villanova, Providence, Creighton

Big Sky – Weber State

Big South – Campbell

Big Ten – Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Indiana

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – Hofstra

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Colorado State, San Diego State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, UCLA, USC

Patriot – Navy

SEC – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Texas State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU, Saint Mary’s (CA), San Francisco

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – December 27th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Coming in mid-January

The 1 Seeds

Baylor, Purdue, Gonzaga, Duke

The 2 Seeds

Arizona, Kansas, UCLA, Iowa State

The 3 Seeds

Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan State, LSU

The 4 Seeds

Seton Hall, Houston, USC, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

Texas, Tennessee, Xavier, Wisconsin

The 6 Seeds

Connecticut, Kentucky, Villanova, Illinois

The 7 Seeds

Providence, Texas Tech, Colorado State, West Virginia

The 8 Seeds

North Carolina, Iowa, Oklahoma, Virginia Tech

The 9 Seeds

BYU, Loyola-Chicago, Florida, Michigan

The 10 Seeds

Memphis, Minnesota, Saint Mary’s (CA), Arkansas

The 11 Seeds

Creighton, Wake Forest, San Francisco, Indiana, San Diego State, Louisville

The 12 Seeds

St. Bonaventure, Belmont, Chattanooga, Iona

The 13 Seeds

Ohio, UAB, Hofstra, UC Irvine

The 14 Seeds

South Dakota State, New Mexico State, Vermont, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Wagner, Navy, Weber State, Texas State

The 16 Seeds

Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Campbell, Nicholls State, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

San Francisco, Indiana, San Diego State, Louisville

First Four Out

Mississippi State, Northwestern, Florida State, Utah State

Next Four Out

Cincinnati, Marquette, Clemson, UCF

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), Big East (6), ACC (5), WCC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Mountain West (2)

ACC – Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville

America East – Vermont

American – Houston, Memphis

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma

Big East – Seton Hall, Xavier, Connecticut, Villanova, Providence, Creighton

Big Sky – Weber State

Big South – Campbell

Big Ten – Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Indiana

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – Hofstra

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Colorado State, San Diego State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, UCLA, USC

Patriot – Navy

SEC – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Texas State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU, Saint Mary’s (CA), San Francisco

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – December 26th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Coming in mid-January

The 1 Seeds

Baylor, Purdue, Gonzaga, Duke

The 2 Seeds

Kansas, UCLA, Iowa State, Arizona

The 3 Seeds

Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan State, Seton Hall

The 4 Seeds

Houston, LSU, USC, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

Texas, Tennessee, Xavier, Wisconsin

The 6 Seeds

Connecticut, Kentucky, Villanova, Florida

The 7 Seeds

Providence, Illinois, Texas Tech, Arkansas

The 8 Seeds

North Carolina, Iowa, Memphis, Virginia Tech

The 9 Seeds

BYU, West Virginia, Colorado State, Oklahoma

The 10 Seeds

Minnesota, Saint Mary’s (CA), Michigan, Creighton

The 11 Seeds

Wake Forest, San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, San Diego State, St. Bonaventure

The 12 Seeds

Loyola-Chicago, Belmont, Chattanooga, UC Irvine

The 13 Seeds

Ohio, Iona, UAB, Hofstra

The 14 Seeds

South Dakota State, Vermont, New Mexico State, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Navy, Weber State, Wagner, Texas State

The 16 Seeds

Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Campbell, Nicholls State, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, San Diego State

First Four Out

Florida State, Mississippi State, Utah State, Northwestern

Next Four Out

Wichita State, Cincinnati, Marquette, Clemson

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), Big East (6), ACC (5), WCC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Mountain West (2)

ACC – Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville

America East – Vermont

American – Houston, Memphis

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma

Big East – Seton Hall, Xavier, Connecticut, Villanova, Providence, Creighton

Big Sky – Weber State

Big South – Campbell

Big Ten – Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Indiana

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – Hofstra

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Colorado State, San Diego State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, UCLA, USC

Patriot – Navy

SEC – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Texas State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU, Saint Mary’s (CA), San Francisco

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – December 24th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Coming in mid-January

The 1 Seeds

Baylor, Purdue, Gonzaga, Duke

The 2 Seeds

Kansas, UCLA, Iowa State, Arizona

The 3 Seeds

Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan State, Seton Hall

The 4 Seeds

Houston, LSU, USC, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

Texas, Tennessee, Xavier, Wisconsin

The 6 Seeds

Connecticut, Kentucky, Villanova, Florida

The 7 Seeds

Providence, Illinois, Texas Tech, Arkansas

The 8 Seeds

North Carolina, Iowa, Memphis, Virginia Tech

The 9 Seeds

BYU, West Virginia, Colorado State, Oklahoma

The 10 Seeds

Minnesota, Saint Mary’s (CA), Michigan, Creighton

The 11 Seeds

Wake Forest, San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, San Diego State, St. Bonaventure

The 12 Seeds

Loyola-Chicago, Belmont, Chattanooga, UC Irvine

The 13 Seeds

Ohio, Iona, UAB, Hofstra

The 14 Seeds

South Dakota State, Vermont, New Mexico State, Oakland

The 15 Seeds

Navy, Weber State, Wagner, Texas State

The 16 Seeds

Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Campbell, Nicholls State, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, San Diego State

First Four Out

Florida State, Mississippi State, Utah State, Northwestern

Next Four Out

Wichita State, Cincinnati, Marquette, Clemson

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), Big East (6), ACC (5), WCC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Mountain West (2)

ACC – Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville

America East – Vermont

American – Houston, Memphis

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma

Big East – Seton Hall, Xavier, Connecticut, Villanova, Providence, Creighton

Big Sky – Weber State

Big South – Campbell

Big Ten – Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Indiana

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – Hofstra

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Colorado State, San Diego State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, UCLA, USC

Patriot – Navy

SEC – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Texas State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU, Saint Mary’s (CA), San Francisco

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – December 22nd

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Coming in mid-January

The 1 Seeds

Baylor, Purdue, Gonzaga, Duke

The 2 Seeds

Arizona, Kansas, UCLA, Iowa State

The 3 Seeds

Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan State, Seton Hall

The 4 Seeds

Houston, LSU, USC, Alabama

The 5 Seeds

Texas, Xavier, Wisconsin, Connecticut

The 6 Seeds

Kentucky, Villanova, Florida, Providence

The 7 Seeds

Tennessee, Illinois, Texas Tech, Arkansas

The 8 Seeds

North Carolina, Iowa, BYU, Memphis

The 9 Seeds

Virginia Tech, West Virginia, Colorado State, Oklahoma

The 10 Seeds

Minnesota, Saint Mary’s (CA), Michigan, Creighton

The 11 Seeds

Wake Forest, San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, San Diego State, St. Bonaventure

The 12 Seeds

Loyola-Chicago, Belmont, Chattanooga, UC Irvine

The 13 Seeds

Ohio, Iona, UAB, Hofstra

The 14 Seeds

South Dakota State, Vermont, New Mexico State, Navy

The 15 Seeds

Oakland, Weber State, Wagner, Texas State

The 16 Seeds

Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Campbell, Nicholls State, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, San Diego State

First Four Out

Florida State, Mississippi State, Utah State, Northwestern

Next Four Out

Wichita State, Cincinnati, Marquette, Wyoming

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), Big East (6), ACC (5), WCC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2), Mountain West (2)

ACC – Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville

America East – Vermont

American – Houston, Memphis

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma

Big East – Seton Hall, Xavier, Connecticut, Villanova, Providence, Creighton

Big Sky – Weber State

Big South – Campbell

Big Ten – Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Indiana

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – Hofstra

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Colorado State, San Diego State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, UCLA, USC

Patriot – Navy

SEC – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Texas State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU, Saint Mary’s (CA), San Francisco

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – December 21st

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Coming in mid-January

The 1 Seeds

Baylor, Purdue, Gonzaga, Duke

The 2 Seeds

Arizona, Kansas, UCLA, Iowa State

The 3 Seeds

Alabama, Auburn, Ohio State, Michigan State

The 4 Seeds

Seton Hall, Houston, LSU, USC

The 5 Seeds

Texas, Xavier, Wisconsin, Connecticut

The 6 Seeds

Kentucky, Villanova, Florida, Providence

The 7 Seeds

Tennessee, Illinois, Texas Tech, Arkansas

The 8 Seeds

North Carolina, Iowa, BYU, Memphis

The 9 Seeds

Virginia Tech, Marquette, West Virginia, Colorado State

The 10 Seeds

Oklahoma, Minnesota, Saint Mary’s (CA), Michigan

The 11 Seeds

Creighton, Wake Forest, San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana, St. Bonaventure

The 12 Seeds

Loyola-Chicago, Belmont, Chattanooga, UC Irvine

The 13 Seeds

Ohio, Iona, UAB, Hofstra

The 14 Seeds

South Dakota State, Vermont, New Mexico State, Navy

The 15 Seeds

Oakland, Weber State, Wagner, Texas State

The 16 Seeds

Princeton, Florida Gulf Coast, Campbell, Nicholls State, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Wake Forest, San Francisco, Louisville, Indiana

First Four Out

Wichita State, San Diego State, Utah State, Florida State

Next Four Out

Wyoming, Mississippi State, Northwestern, Cincinnati

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), Big East (7), SEC (7), ACC (5), WCC (4), Pac-12 (3), American (2)

ACC – Duke, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest, Louisville

America East – Vermont

American – Houston, Memphis

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure

Atlantic Sun – Florida Gulf Coast

Big 12 – Baylor, Kansas, Iowa State, Texas, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Oklahoma

Big East – Seton Hall, Xavier, Connecticut, VIllanova, Providence, Marquette, Creighton

Big Sky – Weber State

Big South – Campbell

Big Ten – Purdue, Ohio State, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Michigan, Indiana

Big West – UC Irvine

Colonial – Hofstra

Conference USA – UAB

Horizon – Oakland

Ivy – Princeton

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago

Mountain West – Colorado State

Northeast – Wagner

Ohio Valley – Belmont

Pac-12 – Arizona, UCLA, USC

Patriot – Navy

SEC – Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Kentucky, Florida, Tennessee, Arkansas

Southern – Chattanooga

Southland – Nicholls State

Summit – South Dakota State

Sun Belt – Texas State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – New Mexico State

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU, Saint Mary’s (CA), San Francisco

How to Win Your Bracket Pool (2021 Edition)

Before you begin reading this article, I want to make one thing abundantly clear: I’m not telling you how to fill out the perfect bracket; that’s impossible (insert cliche about the astronomically small odds of this ever happening). Rather, I’m giving you statistically sound, pragmatic advice on how to win your bracket pool between you and your friends (and the spoils that come along with it). If you follow these foolproof steps, you should finish at (or at the very least near) the top:

Step 1: Advance all 1 and 2 seeds to the Sweet 16.

Okay, I know, this is super chalky and people may rag on you for making this move. Furthermore, the odds are heavily against all eight 1 and 2 seeds advancing to the Sweet 16. However, picking which 1 or 2 seed is going to get upset is a fool’s gambit. You put yourself at risk of losing easy points that your opponents will gain. You’re better off taking a couple gambles in other early round games, and just playing it close to the vest here.

To further drive home my point, consider this – in the last five tournaments, 28 of the 40 teams (70%) on the 1 and 2 seed line advanced to the Sweet 16. If you can essentially lock in 5 or 6 correct teams in your predicted Sweet 16, you should do it.

Step 2: Advance all 3 and 4 seeds to the second round.

The same chalkiness mentioned in step 1 definitely applies here as well, but the same logic applies as well. The difference here is that a lower seed upset over a 3 or 4 in the second round is much more likely  in comparison to a similar 1 or 2 upset. Thus, auto-advancing the 3 and 4 seeds should only apply to the first round. It’s fun bragging about being the one person who accurately picked the crazy 14 over 3 upset, but you know what’s more fun? Bragging about winning your bracket pool.

In a similar fashion to step 1, I really want to drive home this point as well. In the last five tournaments, 33 of the 40 teams (83%) on the 3 and 4 seed line advanced to the second round.

Step 3: Use the following statistical data to fill out the rest of your bracket.
(*Note*: The 0% values listed do not imply that the result cannot happen. Rather, the result is extremely unlikely [less than 0.5% likelihood])

In years past, I had developed a predictive model to attempt to project who has the best chance of advancing far into the tournament. I refined the model to further optimize the predictive results, then normalized the projections for each region to create a probability of advancing in any given round for every team in the tournament. I used historic tournament results from games that took place between 2010 to 2017.

As part of an update from 2019, I moved to a model that predicts the exact score of each game. After the projected score is developed, the model turns that into a projected probability of victory, then uses rules of conditional probability to project teams advancing in the tournament. I also updated the training data for the model to include tournament results from games that took place between 2014 and 2019. I felt that games during this time period were more indicative of future tournament results, especially given the NCAA’s freedom of movement rule implementation.

West Region

West Region

South Region

South Region

Midwest Region

Midwest Region

East Region

East Region

Bonus TL;DR version: Synthesizing the above charts for people who don’t like numbers.

Most Likely First Round Upsets

Going crazy picking a ton of upsets doesn’t do you any good. Instead, I would pick one (or two tops if you’re feeling real wild) from the following options:

  • (11) Michigan St./UCLA over BYU
  • (11) Syracuse over San Diego State
  • (12) Georgetown over Colorado
  • (11) Utah State over Texas Tech
  • (11) Wichita State/Drake over Southern California

Toss-Up Games

These are the 7/10 and 8/9 games that could get either way. I recommend the following strategy:

  • (8) Oklahoma vs. (9) Missouri – Take Oklahoma.
  • (7) Oregon vs. (10) VCU – Take Oregon.
  • (8) North Carolina vs. (9) Wisconsin – Take Wisconsin.
  • (7) Florida vs. (10) Virginia Tech – Flip a coin.
  • (8) Loyola-Chicago vs. (9) Georgia Tech – Flip a coin.
  • (7) Clemson vs. (10) Rutgers – Flip a coin.
  • (8) LSU vs. (9) St. Bonaventure – Flip a coin.
  • (7) Connecticut vs. (10) Maryland – Take Connecticut.

Best Final Four Picks by Region

  • West: (1) Gonzaga, (2) Iowa
  • South: (1) Baylor, (2) Ohio State
  • Midwest: (1) Illinois, (2) Houston, (3) West Virginia
  • East: (2) Alabama, (1) Michigan, (4) Florida State, (3) Texas

Best Champion Picks

  • (1) Gonzaga
  • (1) Baylor
  • (1) Illinois
  • (2) Iowa
  • (2) Houston

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 14th (Final)

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031421

The 1 Seeds

Gonzaga, Baylor, Illinois, Michigan

The 2 Seeds

Alabama, Iowa, Ohio State, Houston

The 3 Seeds

Oklahoma State, Texas, Arkansas, Kansas 

The 4 Seeds

West Virginia, Virginia, Purdue, Florida State

The 5 Seeds

Creighton, Villanova, Tennessee, USC

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Colorado, Missouri, LSU

The 7 Seeds

BYU, Oregon, Loyola-Chicago, San Diego State

The 8 Seeds

Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Clemson, Florida 

The 9 Seeds

Connecticut, North Carolina, St. Bonaventure, Georgia Tech

The 10 Seeds

Rutgers, Virginia Tech, Maryland, VCU  

The 11 Seeds

Michigan State, UCLA, Louisville, Drake, Syracuse, Utah State

The 12 Seeds

Georgetown, Oregon State, Winthrop, UC Santa Barbara

The 13 Seeds

North Texas, Ohio, Colgate, UNC-Greensboro

The 14 Seeds

Liberty, Abilene Christian, Morehead State, Eastern Washington

The 15 Seeds

Cleveland State, Grand Canyon, Drexel, Iona

The 16 Seeds

Oral Roberts, Hartford, Appalachian State, Mount St. Mary’s, Norfolk State, Texas Southern

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Drake, Louisville, Syracuse, Utah State

First Four Out

Wichita State, Saint Louis, Colorado State, Ole Miss

Next Four Out

Boise State, Memphis, Xavier, Seton Hall

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), ACC (8), Big 12 (7), SEC (6), Pac-12 (5), Big East (4), Mountain West (2), Atlantic 10 (2), Missouri Valley (2), WCC (2)

ACC – Virginia, Florida State, Clemson, North Carolina, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse

America East – Hartford

American – Houston

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure, VCU

Atlantic Sun – Liberty

Big 12 – Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas, Kansas, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Oklahoma

Big East – Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut, Georgetown

Big Sky – Eastern Washington

Big South – Winthrop

Big Ten – Illinois, Michigan, Iowa, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Maryland, Michigan State

Big West – UC Santa Barbara

Colonial – Drexel

Conference USA – North Texas

Horizon – Cleveland State

Ivy – N/A (Not participating this season due to COVID-19)

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Ohio

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago, Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State

Northeast – Mount St. Mary’s

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – USC, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA, Oregon State

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, LSU, Florida

Southern – UNC-Greensboro

Southland – Abilene Christian

Summit – Oral Roberts

Sun Belt – Appalachian State

SWAC – Texas Southern

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 13th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031321

The 1 Seeds

Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois

The 2 Seeds

Iowa, Alabama, Ohio State, Houston

The 3 Seeds

Oklahoma State, Kansas, Arkansas, Texas

The 4 Seeds

West Virginia, Purdue, Virginia, Florida State

The 5 Seeds

Villanova, Creighton, Tennessee, USC

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Colorado, Missouri, Oregon

The 7 Seeds

Oklahoma, BYU, LSU, Wisconsin    

The 8 Seeds

Clemson, Florida, San Diego State, Connecticut 

The 9 Seeds

North Carolina, Loyola-Chicago, Rutgers, Virginia Tech

The 10 Seeds

St. Bonaventure, Maryland, VCU, Georgia Tech

The 11 Seeds

Michigan State, UCLA, Wichita State, Louisville

The 12 Seeds

Drake, Utah State, Syracuse, Colorado State, Western Kentucky, Winthrop

The 13 Seeds

UC Santa Barbara, Liberty, Buffalo, UNC-Greensboro

The 14 Seeds

Colgate, Morehead State, Eastern Washington, Cleveland State

The 15 Seeds

Grand Canyon, Drexel, Oral Roberts, Iona

The 16 Seeds

Hartford, Nicholls, Appalachian State, Mount St. Mary’s, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk State

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Drake, Utah State, Syracuse, Colorado State

First Four Out

Saint Louis, Ole Miss, Memphis, Boise State

Next Four Out

Seton Hall, St. John’s, Xavier, SMU 

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), ACC (8), Big 12 (7), SEC (6), Pac-12 (4), Big East (3), Mountain West (3), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), Missouri Valley (2), WCC (2)

ACC – Virginia, Florida State, Clemson, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse

America East – Hartford

American – Houston, Wichita State

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure, VCU

Atlantic Sun – Liberty

Big 12 – Baylor, Oklahoma State, Kansas, Texas, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Oklahoma

Big East – Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut

Big Sky – Eastern Washington

Big South – Winthrop

Big Ten – Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Maryland, Michigan State

Big West – UC Santa Barbara

Colonial – Drexel

Conference USA – Western Kentucky

Horizon – Cleveland State

Ivy – N/A (Not participating this season due to COVID-19)

MAAC – Iona

MAC – Toledo

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago, Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Utah State, Colorado State

Northeast – Mount St. Mary’s

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – USC, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, LSU, Florida

Southern – UNC-Greensboro

Southland – Nicholls

Summit – Oral Roberts

Sun Belt – Appalachian State

SWAC – Prairie View A&M

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU

1-3-1 Sports Field of 68 – March 12th

Welcome back to 1-3-1 Sports! My goal is to update my bracketology projections daily for the entirety of the season, so that my audience can have the most accurate, up-to-date picture of the college basketball landscape. As always, I’m open to interviews, feedback, and ideas from readers regarding potential topics, discussions, etc. Furthermore, if any individual team websites are interested in working in conjunction on team-specific bracketology Q&A pieces, I’d love to contribute. Let the fun begin!

THE BRACKET

Bracket 031221

The 1 Seeds

Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Illinois

The 2 Seeds

Iowa, Alabama, Houston, Ohio State  

The 3 Seeds

Arkansas, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Texas

The 4 Seeds

West Virginia, Purdue, Virginia, Florida State

The 5 Seeds

Villanova, Tennessee, Creighton, USC

The 6 Seeds

Texas Tech, Colorado, Missouri, Oregon

The 7 Seeds

Oklahoma, Florida, BYU, Wisconsin    

The 8 Seeds

LSU, Clemson, Loyola-Chicago, Connecticut 

The 9 Seeds

San Diego State, North Carolina, Virginia Tech, Rutgers

The 10 Seeds

St. Bonaventure, Maryland, VCU, Georgia Tech

The 11 Seeds

Michigan State, UCLA, Wichita State, Louisville

The 12 Seeds

Colorado State, Drake, Syracuse, Ole Miss, Western Kentucky, Winthrop

The 13 Seeds

Toledo, UC Santa Barbara, Liberty, Colgate

The 14 Seeds

UNC-Greensboro, Morehead State, Southern Utah, Cleveland State

The 15 Seeds

Grand Canyon, Drexel, Oral Roberts, Hartford

The 16 Seeds

Nicholls, St. Peter’s, Appalachian State, Mount St. Mary’s, Prairie View A&M, Norfolk State

—————————————————————-

—————————————————————-

BUBBLE ACTION

Last Four In

Colorado State, Drake, Syracuse, Ole Miss

First Four Out

Utah State, Saint Louis, Boise State, Seton Hall

Next Four Out

St. John’s, Xavier, SMU, Memphis

—————————————————————

—————————————————————

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Big Ten (9), ACC (8), Big 12 (7), SEC (7), Pac-12 (4), Big East (3), Mountain West (2), American (2), Atlantic 10 (2), Missouri Valley (2), WCC (2)

ACC – Virginia, Florida State, Clemson, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse

America East – Hartford

American – Houston, Wichita State

Atlantic 10 – St. Bonaventure, VCU

Atlantic Sun – Liberty

Big 12 – Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma

Big East – Villanova, Creighton, Connecticut

Big Sky – Southern Utah

Big South – Winthrop

Big Ten – Michigan, Illinois, Iowa, Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Rutgers, Maryland, Michigan State

Big West – UC Santa Barbara

Colonial – Drexel

Conference USA – Western Kentucky

Horizon – Cleveland State

Ivy – N/A (Not participating this season due to COVID-19)

MAAC – St. Peter’s

MAC – Toledo

MEAC – Norfolk State

Missouri Valley – Loyola-Chicago, Drake

Mountain West – San Diego State, Colorado State

Northeast – Mount St. Mary’s

Ohio Valley – Morehead State

Pac-12 – USC, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA

Patriot – Colgate

SEC – Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Florida, LSU, Ole Miss

Southern – UNC-Greensboro

Southland – Nicholls

Summit – Oral Roberts

Sun Belt – Appalachian State

SWAC – Prairie View A&M

WAC – Grand Canyon

WCC – Gonzaga, BYU