I took my baseline NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament projection model and created a “high-volatility” version to produce bracket simulations so I could look for teams that are uniquely capable of making unexpected runs in this year’s tournament. I compared the results of these simulations to currently available futures on DraftKings (unfortunately, FanDuel limits Women’s futures to Final 4 and Champion) to look for high leverage opportunities with plus odds.

I identified four such opportunities (in order of shortest to longest odds):

• Maryland advancing to the Sweet 16 (+120)
• Ohio State advancing to the Sweet 16 (+125)
• Duke advancing to the Elite 8 (+130)
• LSU advancing to the Elite 8 (+400)